The Kaiser gives Germany’s unqualified support to Austria-Hungary in any action it wishes to take against Serbia.
The Kaiser thinks it likely Russia will stay out. The Tsar will not take the part of regicides and Russia and its ally France are not prepared for war.
A senior German official tells the Austrian envoy he thinks there is a 90% probability of a European war. The envoy unofficially says Austria wants to partition Serbia and give parts to its neighbours, Bulgaria and Albania
The Kaiser departs on his annual summer North Sea cruise with the German fleet. Other German leaders take their holidays.